
Don't fall prey
to the schemes, there are thousands, and they are all just that,
'schemes'.
Not only do
these schemes fail beat casino games with a house advantage,
they can't even dent it. Roulette balls and dice simply have no
memory. Every spin in roulette is
independent of all past events. The odds of any number
coming up on the spin of a roulette table is the EXACT SAME
EVERY SPIN!
In the short run you can fool
yourself into thinking a betting system works, by risking a lot
to win a little. However in the long run no betting system can
withstand the test of time and the ratio of money lost to money
bet will get closer to the expectation for that game the longer
you play.
Some of the commons schemes for roulette:
Wheel Tracking
Some people and books claim that roulette wheels are biased,
with a heavy side and a light side. Gravity causes the numbers
in the heavy side to hit more often. This I believe used to be
true when the quality of the equipment was poor. However modern
roulette wheels are much better and very rigorously tested. Only
in a casino using a very dated wheel may you be able to find a
biased one by testing many thousands of spins. Based on stories
I have heard your odds of finding such wheels are probably best
in under funded casinos.
Martingale
Progression  Closest system that has any merit.
This is the
classically simple betting system. The steps are as follows:
Bet the minimum bet. (assuming $5 as the table minimum).
If you lose,
double your bet (now $10).
If you now
win, you are now up $5, pocket the $5, thus dropping your
bet back to $5
If you lose, however, double up again (now $20).
You keep "doubling up" until: you win a spin (with your
first winning spin, you will be "up" $5) you hit the table
maximum
Once you reach one of the "stopping conditions" above, you
start again (betting a fresh $5). In my terminology, I call
this "starting a new round".
Observations on this system:
This system is oriented towards "chasing your losses". The
bets keep doubling, while you try to wipe out your losses
and get $5 ahead.
The result is that you will have many "winning rounds" where
you end up $5 ahead. Inevitably, however, there will be
losing rounds when you keep doublingup but you do finally
hit the house maximum without a winning spin. So, there are
a small number of rounds where you lose a large amount of
money. I will reiterate: even if a very large maximum, you
will occasionally reach the maximum and lose a large amount
of money. In a real casino situation where the ratio of
table maximum to table minimum is between 100:1 and 500:1,
you would expect to "max out" every 200 to 1000 spins (on
average).
This system is
popular because many people can play for quite some time and
show winnings... the problem? eventually, everyone
using this system will have a run of losses until they hit
the house ceiling, and the end result will be a total loss.
Most casinos
in the US, have a table maximum of $1,000. So lets see
how many loses it takes to hit that ceiling...
$5
$10
$20
$40
$80
$160
$320
$640
done,
you can't double to $1,280 with a maximum of $1,000.
Eight spins going against you is not uncommon on a roulette
table. Try a simulator yourself and see what happens.
Our system
doesn't have this short coming!
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